Welcome to Young's World Money Forecast Back After Nearly a Four-Decade Hiatus On the cover of Money magazine * Featured in Forbes * Profiled in The Wall Street Journal * EXPERIENCE Over 50 Years Experience Helping You Author of the Financial Armadillo Strategy YOUNG RESEARCH'S STOCK OF THE 90'S results HANDS-ON RESEARCH & WINNING RESULTS HARLEY-DAVIDSON 2016 1960 Shrewd investors score with the power of the thirty stocks in the DOW You don’t have to analyze 500 stocks when equal results can be gotten from just 30 stocks. Stick with the DOW 30 blue-chip giants. " " FOCUS Dow Jones Industrial Average S&P 500 Dow Jones Industrial Average Thirty Stocks Free Investment Letter - Sign Up Now Each month Matt Young writes a letter to clients of Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. that is packed with insight and analysis on the global investment landscape. Sign up here to receive the letter as soon as it is posted. The letter is free, even for non-clients. Sign Up Here Matthew A. Young President and CEO Ranked by Barron’s as one of the top Independent Advisors
Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd.

Gold’s True Story

Back in 1971, I had just started in the institutional research and trading business on Federal St. in Boston. Our firm traded and researched gold shares. I would in fact shortly be on the way to London to begin research on a lengthy gold study. This presentation by Claudio Grass published on LewRockwell.com is pretty much as I remember events, and is a great summary of the facts and events of that time. He writes (abridged): This year marked the 50th anniversary of President Nixon’s decision to unilaterally close the “gold window”. The impact of this move can hardly be overstated. It triggered a tectonic shift of momentous consequences and it changed not just the global economy and the … [Read More...]

Why Mutual Funds No Longer Work for Your Retirement

My recent study covers four of the most widely owned equity-based mutual funds. Vanguard Equity Income Vanguard Dividend Growth T. Rowe Price Dividend Growth Fidelity Dividend Growth Here’s the 10-year compounded growth rate for each: T. Rowe Price Dividend Growth 12.0% Vanguard Dividend Growth 12.0%, Vanguard Equity Income 11.7% Fidelity Dividend Growth 10.0%. Today, each of these four multi-billion dollar funds has become far too big to allow crafting a portfolio with a suitable number of stocks that would meet my criteria. There are simply not enough publicly owned candidates. Note how the long-term returns for all four of these funds are basically the same. In … [Read More...]

How to Take Charge of Your Own Health

Throughout my career, I’ve considered most of the advice given to individual investors as B.S.  I’ve been in the professional investment advice advisory industry since 1971, when I first started speaking at major money conferences around the world, trying to help investors separate the investment chaff from the wheat. In the mid 90s, Money Magazine did a feature on the five largest circulation individual investment newsletters, and rated each A–F.  Money handed out only one A grade. Yes, to my investment newsletter, Richard C. Young’s Intelligence Report. Not long thereafter, with Matt and Becky in college, it seemed like a good time for Debbie and me to buy V-Twin Harleys to help us to … [Read More...]

Tech Ever More Important in the Auto Industry

The world has learned over the last year just how important computers are to the modern auto industry, as shortages of vehicles, or of vehicles with certain options, have been created by a lack of chips to put in vehicles at the factory. An average 2021 automobile has around 1,400 chips in it. With so many chips necessary for each automobile, the shortage is going to take a toll on the industry, cutting the production of an estimated 3.9 million vehicles this year. Part of the problem with chips is that factories are expensive, costing around $15 billion to build. And, they take a long time to complete, at around 5 years. With computer chips becoming ever more integral to automobiles, and … [Read More...]

Work to Make Money/Invest to Save Money

The U.S. government must finally wise up and put an immediate end to the insane double taxation of dividends.  The government, facilitated by the Fed, is in an ongoing war to destroy the value of the dollar by printing money beyond any reasonable rate of expansion. Simply take a look at real estate prices to witness the explosion in liquidity.  Do not let the government destroy the value of your retirement. Demand that the government ends the double taxation of dividends!   Originally posted October 17, 2017. With the exception of the large sums of money that I invested in zero-coupon treasuries (Benham Target Funds) in the 1980s and 1990s, I have never invested based on how much money I … [Read More...]

Fidelity and the Flight to the Suburbs

Back in February, I wrote to you about how I started in the institutional research and trading investment business at Model Roland & Co. on Federal St. in Boston in August 1971. Just up the street from Model were Fidelity Investments, and Wellington Management, both of whom I called on from my very first hours on the job. Over five decades ago, Ned Johnson, aka “Mister Johnson,” ran the show at Fidelity. At Wellington, Jack Bogle, “Mr. Mutual Fund,” had not yet left Wellington to start Vanguard.    My focus in the initial going was international research and trading, and remains so today all these decades later.  I still consider Fidelity and Wellington the industry leaders. Both … [Read More...]

Lumber Prices Are Soaring, Should the Fed Be Afraid?

Lumber prices are breaking records. First position Spruce-Pine-Fir futures are trading at over $1500/metric ton. Perhaps the most frightening aspect of the spike in lumber prices is that builders have been able to pass them on to customers. The Fed should be very worried about the rapid rise in prices going directly to consumers. The central bank's policy of low interest rates for longer could buckle under the pressure if inflation heats up faster than expected. Ryan Dezember reports in The Wall Street Journal: The Fed last week recommitted to near-zero interest rates, which have fueled the red-hot housing market. Rising home prices and low rates have also helped existing homeowners … [Read More...]

Strong GDP Set to Accelerate in the Second Quarter

First-quarter GDP estimates came in at a robust 6.4%, with growth likely to accelerate to more than 8% next quarter. Over the coming weeks, economic activity in the U.S. will surpass its pre-pandemic high. With the Fed pumping over a trillion dollars of liquidity into financial markets annually and the Six Trillion Dollar Man (Joe Biden) proposing new schemes to run up the deficit, GDP is poised to increase at its fastest rate in decades this year. Josh Mitchell reports: A burst of growth put the U.S. economy just a shave below its pre-pandemic size in the first quarter, extending what is shaping up to be a rapid, consumer-driven recovery this year. Gross domestic product, the broadest … [Read More...]

Pandemic Spending Pushes Amazon Profits to Record

The pandemic created a perfect storm for Amazon. With more people shopping, and more people working from home using cloud services, Amazon's profits have soared. Sebastian Herrera reports for The Wall Street Journal (abridged): Amazon. AMZN 0.37% com Inc. reported record quarterly profit as demand remained robust for its deliveries, cloud-computing and advertising businesses, capping a blockbuster earnings season for the world’s largest technology companies. The Seattle company’s profits in the year since the pandemic started exceeded $26 billion, more than the previous three years combined. Net income from January to March more than tripled to $8.1 billion, and revenue of $108 billion … [Read More...]

Apple Increases Its Dividend by 7% on Record High Profits

Apple Inc. raised its dividend by 7% today to 22 cents a share and increased an existing share repurchase program after results showed record-high profits. Tim Higgins reports in The Wall Street Journal: Apple Inc. AAPL -0.60% signaled that the historic rise in sales it has achieved during the pandemic is set to continue, addressing a key investor concern as the company reported a profit that more than doubled to a record high for the first three months of the year. New, more expensive models of the iPhone 12 have been a hit with customers, and revenue from Mac computers and iPads also rose during the quarter on strong demand from employees and students conducting their work at … [Read More...]