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Bull and Bear Portfolio Update: 5.18.18

May 18, 2018 By Richard Young

Model Guidance: Close Your Positions

I want you to close out your longs and shorts in the short-term Bull-Bear Portfolio model. Through last night’s close, the model is up 2.80% (total return)  compared to a gain of 1.30% for the Dow (assumes $60K in capital)—a strong return for a portfolio that takes 40% less stock market risk than the Dow as a whole. And a nice boost to a balanced portfolio that may be feeling some temporary drag from rising interest rates.

With a nice profit in the bank, it is time to move on from this round of the short-term bull-bear portfolio and come back when conditions are more favorable.

I will have more on bull-bear investing and many more compelling enhancements to Young’s World Money Forecast over coming weeks and months.

Symbol Description L / S Initial Investment Starting Price Qty L/S Prior Day Close Current Price Current Value % Chg. Day % Chg. Inception
AAPL US Apple Inc Long 10,000.00 165.70 60.34 187.00 187.00 11,283.49 0.00 12.83
CSCO US Cisco Systems Inc Long 10,000.00 44.10 226.81 43.50 43.50 9,857.11 0.00 -1.43
HD US Home Depot Inc Long 10,000.00 177.00 56.49 185.30 185.30 10,470.03 0.00 4.70
INTC US Intel Corp Long 10,000.00 51.50 194.06 54.80 54.20 10,523.97 -1.06 5.24
JPM US Jpmorgan Chase & Co Long 10,000.00 111.50 89.71 113.00 113.00 10,133.67 0.00 1.34
TRV US Travelers Cos Inc/The Long 10,000.00 136.80 73.08 130.70 130.70 9,552.76 0.00 -4.47
UNH US Unitedhealth Group Inc Long 10,000.00 235.10 42.54 243.00 243.00 10,336.08 0.00 3.36
UTX US United Technologies Corp Long 10,000.00 123.10 81.25 124.60 124.60 10,124.31 0.00 1.24
WMT US Walmart Inc Long 10,000.00 87.00 114.97 84.50 84.20 9,683.84 -0.31 -3.16
VZ US Verizon Communications Inc Long 10,000.00 47.90 208.77 47.90 47.90 9,989.56 0.00 -0.10
KO US Coca-Cola Co/The Short -8,000.00 43.70 -182.90 42.30 42.30 -7,736.63 0.00 3.40
CVX US Chevron Corp Short -8,000.00 122.30 -65.41 129.50 129.50 -8,467.66 0.00 -5.52
DWDP US Dowdupont Inc Short -8,000.00 66.04 -121.14 68.16 68.16 -8,256.81 0.00 -3.11
MRK US Merck & Co. Inc. Short -8,000.00 58.83 -135.99 59.07 59.07 -8,032.64 0.00 -0.41
IBM US Intl Business Machines Corp Short -8,000.00 144.90 -55.21 144.50 144.50 -7,977.92 0.00 0.28
Longs 100,000.00 101,955.00 -0.14 1.95
Shorts -40,000.00 -40,471.66 0.00 -1.17
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Filed Under: Dow Bull and Bear Updates

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